Let's Hijack The NDP
The Conservative Party of Canada has finally elected their new leader and the marathon campaigning is over. Now is the time for rebuilding, uniting and getting ready to take on Justin Trudeau’s Liberals in 2019. So what can conservatives do to help?
Join the NDP and vote for Jagmeet Singh to lead the party.
Yes, you read that correctly.
Conservatives should hijack the NDP and make sure that Jagmeet Singh is elected leader. But why?
#1. A strong NDP leads to Conservative wins
When the NDP is strong, it tends to bleed support away from the Liberals. Ever since Jack Layton became NDP leader over a decade ago, the party has been progressively moving in a New Left direction. This was interrupted by Tom Mulcair’s centrist campaign in 2015. Because Mulcair moved to the centre (and appealed to the Old Left), Trudeau was able to hijack the New Left and consequently win a majority in his first attempt. The Liberals and the NDP need to mirror one another in order to cannibalize progressive votes. When the political dynamic consists of Conservatives with a clear centre-right proposition on one side and Liberals & NDP eating each others lunch on the other...Conservatives win. It’s only a left-wing vote split that allows Conservatives to run up the middle and win.
#2. Jagmeet Singh will steal Justin Trudeau’s thunder
Justin Trudeau bounced onto the national stage and sold himself as an urban, fashionable, social justice warrioring, woke dreamboat. After ten years of Harper’s Nixonian-style, he looked refreshing and voters turned their brains off and jumped on the bandwagon. Many now have buyer’s remorse, but for those who don’t...they can’t get enough. They can’t get enough of their embodied progressive avatar making them proud on the world stage. The only thing better for these voters would be for an even more urban, even more fashionable, even more social justice warrioring, even more woke dreamboat to show up and move Canada even more to the left of the political spectrum.
Jagmeet Singh is that guy.
"He brings a lot of new blood into the race, he will represent a lot of urban, youth-focused issues...I think if I was a Liberal, I wouldn't want to be running against Jagmeet." ~ Kathleen Monk, former director of strategic communications for Jack Layton
#3. Jagmeet Singh will divide the NDP
I remember watching the NDP leadership race back in 2003 and during the campaign a debate was held in Regina. The crowd was packed full of supporters as each candidate took turns making their pitch to the members. This was Regina and the crowd looked mostly blue collar and rural...there may have been some non-ironically worn cowboy hats even. When the leaders talked about helping the poor or sticking it to big business, the crowd loved it. When they talked about how awesome gay pride parades were and how global warming was a big deal...the crowd was blank. This was the first time I realized how the divide between Old Left and New Left was unfolding.
Most voters in Western Canada and rural Ontario don’t seem to understand that voting NDP and Conservative is supposed to be mutually exclusive. In Saskatchewan, people could vote for the Reform party in the 90’s during a federal election and then vote NDP during a provincial election without batting an eye. Typically these voters are Old Left. They’re socially conservative, but suspicious of corporate power...especially urban centred, “down east” corporate power. These are the hard hats and rancher types. The church going senior types that have no problem with a big social welfare state, but think immigration should be halted. The Old Left would have no problem with increasing minimum wage, but dislike the idea of abortion. They would be fine with more crown corporations, but hate sales taxes. They would like to see free university education, but think aboriginals get a free ride. They believe in universal health-care, but think the military is grossly underfunded. They don’t trust the police, but would gladly see criminals hanged.
Obviously these are generalizations, and various ideological combinations exist, but these voters are most definitely not New Left. A leader like Peter Julian or Charlie Angus is a catastrophe for the Conservative Party. They would bridge the gap between Old Left and New Left and block Conservative expansion in Western Canada and rural Ontario. A New Left NDP leader opens up opportunity for all those alienated Old Left ridings to be captured by Conservatives. (Yes...I’m suggesting the Conservative base can be expanded by incorporating Old Left NDP supporters. More on that in the future...)
Jagmeet Singh will also steal ridings from the Liberals in downtown Vancouver, the lower mainland and Toronto exclusively. Everywhere else he will drain young, urban, New Left, Liberal support like a vampire...allowing Conservatives to run up the middle in unlikely ridings across the country.
#4. Identity politics
A large segment of our society is obsessed with identity politics. This is especially true of young, New Left progressives...the same cohort that is usually credited with turning out in record numbers for Justin Trudeau in 2015. Jagmeet Singh will function as a form of virtue signalling for these voters in a way that outshines Justin Trudeau’s sunny ways. We saw this effect in Calgary when Naheed Nenshi was elected mayor. He symbolized Calgary’s rejection of imposed cultural stereotypes and his voters took pride in embracing all the checkmarks in his New Left boxes. Superficial? Sure. Effective? Yes.
Canada’s left-wing media is already ecstatic at the politically correct narrative of “Jagmeet as leader”. Here’s a sample from the CBC (of course)...
"Jagmeet is a true progressive and represents a new generation of political activism in this country," said a senior NDP organizer.
"He is definitely generating a lot of interest," said another top NDP activist.
Singh's backers believe he has potential to attract a new injection of members from communities that have not traditionally been NDP supporters, and could help make the party more competitive in the 905, the seat-rich suburbs surrounding Toronto.
In Canadian history, no major federal party has ever chosen a non-white leader.
He hasn’t even been elected leader yet and the media is all over him. When it comes to showing how progressive you are...Jagmeet Singh can’t be beat. Justin Trudeau will be yesterday’s man.
There is also the factor of activating Canada’s Indo-Canadian population in a massive way. Apolitical types and unaffiliated Indo-Canadian voters are going to be very attracted to seeing someone more similar to themselves as leader of the country...regardless of political ideology. There are over 1.2 million Indo-Canadians. That’s a lot of Liberal seats swinging NDP.
#5. Justin Trudeau is betraying his New Left base
Remember democratic reform? Remember Justin Trudeau saying that 2015 will be the last “first-past-the-post” election to be held in Canada? That was just one out of thirty broken promises that Justin Trudeau has committed since coming to power in 2015. He’s slowly disillusioning the supporters who handed him his win. When Jagmeet Singh comes along with no baggage and an “I-told-you-so” embrace...watch those same New Left voters move to the NDP faster than you can say, “Orange Crush”.
Question: If all these supporters move to a Jagmeet Singh NDP...don’t we risk having him win an election?
Answer: Not yet. The New Left is already experiencing a backlash among those who don’t subscribe to the ideology and it’s turning off those who may have in the past. The average age of a Canadian is 42 years old and all this progressive posturing sells to a younger, more naive base. Specifically in this case, a Singh-Trudeau match up will cancel one another out, giving the Conservatives the advantage.
Conservative supporters need to think strategically. It’s difficult for Conservatives to win in this centre-left country and it will take more than some re-arrangements of tax policy to expand the base. In 1984, Brian Mulroney won a majority with over 50% of the popular vote. In 1988, he did it again, but with only 43% of the popular vote. Harper never broke 40% support in any of his elections. Polls show that the Conservatives have been bouncing around at 30% support for the past year and a half. This long term decline betrays any notion of a conservative ascendency. A future riddled with demographic decline and record levels of public and private debt, make it unlikely that conservative ideas are going to sell in any fashion much longer. If 2019 doesn’t provide a Conservative majority (and actual, tangible success thereafter), it will probably be too late to turn the ship around and all the political parties will find themselves simply taking turns managing our national decline for the next 30 years.
It’s for this reason that Conservative supporters should think like chess players and buy a one-year membership and vote Jagmeet Singh as the NDP leader. Left-wingers have been attempting to infiltrate conservative parties for ages. These tactics ultimately led to the destruction of the Alberta PC dynasty. We should turn the tables and take advantage of the democratic process and vote for the best NDP candidate offering the Conservatives a strategic advantage. That advantage is a Jagmeet Singh NDP.
Follow this link to the NDP party membership page and get your cheap, one year membership today.