Why Ted Cruz Can Win
Liberals across America have begun to pour tears while Democrats have put together a fear campaign aimed at prematurely ending Ted Cruz's bid for the White House. His early announcement caught them all off guard, but his strategy is a testament to his brilliance. Not only are Democrats worried, the Republican establishment has probably invested in a full year's supply of diapers. Ted Cruz's early efforts have Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio and Scott Walker scurrying to put together an offensive and Republican strategists scurrying to create the perception that Cruz has no chance. What they don't want Republicans to know is that Ted Cruz has an appeal unlike any GOP candidate since Ronald Reagan. His gravitas, charisma and ingenuity could bind Evangelicals and libertarians together into one, powerful voting block.
In both 2000 and 2004, George W. Bush capitalized on Evangelical and moderate Republican voters. His pro-life and pro-education platform built a common ground for both sides to unite. In 2016, Ted Cruz could do the same by capitalizing on the GOP's growing libertarian wing and the party's strong Evangelical base. Democrats know this and so does the mainstream media. This is exactly why we are seeing a strong and friendly relationship developing between media and Rand Paul. The rise of Ted Cruz could be stopped by using Rand Paul to pull away libertarian Republicans. Rand Paul would have a good chance of beating a Democrat in 2016 because of his socially liberal leanings, but his chances of winning the GOP primaries are weak for the same reasons.
If Ted Cruz plays his hand of cards correctly, he could win both Paul libertarians and Bush Evangelicals. His positions on taxation and abolishing the IRS are already in line with most libertarian ideas, and his positions on abortion and other social issues make him a strong choice for Evangelical voters.
To get an idea of how strong the GOP's Evangelical base is, we can look at the number of Evangelicals who voted in past Republican primaries. In Iowa, 60% of Republican voters identified as Evangelical in 2008 and 2012. In South Carolina, the numbers are the same. Both Iowa and South Carolina are important primary states for any hopeful GOP nominee. The numbers are a bit smaller in Florida (39%), Michigan (39%), Illinois (41%) and Ohio (44%), but if any candidate can scoop up the majority in each state, a win is almost guaranteed.
Ted Cruz knows exactly what he's doing. He made the point of kick starting his campaign at Liberty University, the largest Evangelical university in America. He made sure to tell the crowd that "God is not done with America yet".
The one thing the left in America refuses to believe is that Ted Cruz is highly intelligent. He may be an antagonist, but that's what the right needs more of. Every move Ted Cruz makes is calculated. One of his Harvard professors, Alan Dershowitz, called him "off-the-charts brilliant". Unlike George W. Bush and presidents before him, Ted Cruz never says something by accident. Cruz's classmates and debate peers from college remember him as such: a calculated, smart, deliberately provocative ideologue. One classmate talked of how Ted Cruz's views haven't changed since college. To the left, this is an example of Ted Cruz's shallow minded stupidity. In other words, the left wants to believe he is stupid just because they don't agree with him.
Not all of mainstream media is playing the same leftist harp against Ted Cruz. Tom Rogan, writing for USA Today, said the following:
"Yet, regardless of how we as individuals feel about Cruz's politics, he deserves our respect." – Tom Rogan, "5 Reasons Ted Cruz Deserves Our Respect", USA Today
We should all remember USA Today as the co-partner in the recent Race Together campaign at Starbucks. The newspaper isn't exactly a conservative nuncio, but it wasn't afraid to admit that Ted Cruz is a strong, growing force in American politics.
Some Republican strategists have suggested that Democrats and liberal media want Ted Cruz to win the nomination because he would have no chance of beating a Democrat like Hillary in 2016. This, of course, is just common nonsense being perpetuated by a frightened Republican establishment. We should only expect the attacks to get worse. The Karl Roves will do what they can to make sure a Bush, Rubio or Walker wins the GOP nomination.
What makes Ted Cruz more capable of winning is his sense of humor. Humor isn't something to be found in American politics lately, but when Ted Cruz is involved, there is always a sharp wit and references to modern culture. Filibustering against Obamacare by reading Dr. Suess to Congressmen was only a sample of how far Cruz could go by being serious and funny at the same time.
On Late Night With Seth Meyers, Ted Cruz poked fun at his Congress stunt and the media's distortion of his "world is on fire" comments to a young child. "I poll very well in the 3 to 6 demographic," he said, provoking laughter from Seth Meyer's liberal audience. Cruz then went on to tackle questions about global warming after Meyers segued into the topic from his "world is on fire" commentary.
Last year, while shooting down Colorado drug laws and criticizing Obama in Texas, Ted Cruz said, "A whole lot of folks are talking about legalizing pot. The brownies you had this morning were provided by the state of Colorado." He then went on to criticize Obama for undermining federal drug laws. Libertarians, though, would be happy to know that Cruz does support changing America's drug policies. He just happens to support an adult conversation in Congress. Cruz also told his Texas audience, "You could have hearings, you could look at the problem, you could discuss common sense changes that maybe should happen."
Almost every Cruz speech contains witty jokes, one-liners and discussion about serious issues. Just like Obama, Ted Cruz has three vocal traits that help produce votes. His speeches are inspiring, provocative and funny.
Ted Cruz's appeal among Republicans is wider reaching than Rand Paul's, even though polls don't show it yet. His strategy has been to veer away from the middle. Before announcing his run he said, "I agree very much with Ronald Reagan who says we paint not in pale pastels but bold colors."
Ted Cruz won't take his campaign to the middle and he won't be a moderate. He'll appeal to the Evangelicals and some libertarians. That could be just enough to win the nomination.