Trump Could Be A Governor
December 1st, 2020 | TC
There is a constitutional limitation on a president serving more than two terms in the White House, but there is nothing stopping a former president from running for a seat in Congress or for the governor's office in any of the 50 states—except state constitutions, which all bar Trump from running without a required length of legal residence. However, we will go ahead and explore the possibilities of Trump running in future gubernatorial races just for the sake of speculation. Most presidents have never bothered to run for office after serving in the White House because there is more money in the private sector and in book sales and speeches, but Trump is already a billionaire. Even if he makes a successful presidential comeback in 2024, Trump could run for governor of Florida in 2028.
It may seem like a demotion, but if Trump is serious about making America great again, he could run and win in several states. If Trump skips a presidential bid in 2024 and instead establishes his rumored media empire, keeping himself in the headlines and spotlight for the next few years, his profile should remain high enough to win gubernatorial and senate races anywhere in the country. The only challenge will be having to decide where to run and establishing a permanent residence in the state of his choice for a required amount of time.
Trump has taken shots at Ohio's incumbent Republican governor, but the state runs its next gubernatorial election in 2022—so Trump won't be able to put his money where his mouth is until 2026 or 2030.
Trump did well among Latinos and Cubans in Florida, expanding his win there in 2020. Ron DeSantis is becoming increasingly unpopular and he only beat his Democrat challenger by 30,000 votes in 2018. Trump's spread over Biden in Florida was more than 350,000. If DeSantis loses in 2022, it will give way to a Democrat governor with a two-term limit, opening the door for Donald Trump or one of his sons to seek the governor's office in 2026 or 2030.
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On average, among America's 50 states, six years of residency is a requirement to run for governor. As a governor, Trump would consume all of the oxygen and use his influence to make his state great again. His children could seek office in any state of their choice, as long as they decide now.
Pennsylvania has its gubernatorial election coming up in 2022. The state's Democrat governor, Tom Wolf, is finishing his last term in office. The state's previous governor was a one-term Republican named Tom Corbett, who suffered low approval ratings and was considered a stringent social conservative. Trump, being popular in the state and fairly liberal on social issues, has an opportunity to be Pennsylvania's governor in 2030.
Out of these states, Trump would be best suited for governor of Florida, but winning the gubernatorial race for Pennsylvania would serve a wonderful dose of poetic justice.
Trump owns a famous property in Florida and has spent a good portion of his time as president in the Sunshine State. He tripled his vote among Latinos and Cubans in Florida in 2020 against Joe Biden and he beat Hillary Clinton in 2016, leading many analysts to speculate that Florida may now be a red state. If Republicans choose Ted Cruz or Dan Crenshaw as their nominee in 2024, the chances are high that Republicans will win the state again.
Florida has had a Republican governor since 1998, making Trump's chances there better than in any other state.
If Trump were to win the governor's office in 2026, it would give him another opportunity to “own” the Bush family. Jeb Bush failed to unseat Florida's Democrat governor in 1994 but went on to finally win in 1998—and went on to win a successful second term. More poetic justice would be served to the Bush family dynasty by a Trump win and a second consecutive Trump term as the governor of the Sunshine State.
" Trump's spread over Biden in Florida was more than 350,000."
The state of Florida requires that anyone seeking the governorship have status as a registered voter in the state for at least seven years. Prior to assuming the White House, Trump was legally registered to vote in New York but changed his legal residence to Florida in late 2019, where he owns Mari-La-Go.
Trump would not be eligible to run for governor of Florida until late 2026, just in time for the state's next gubernatorial race. He would not likely qualify in time for the state's GOP primaries, so he would likely be required to run as an independent. For independents to be printed on the ballot, they must submit a petition with enough signatures by mid July. In such a case, special approval may need to be granted, as this date falls just shy of Trump's required time as an official resident of Florida. By the actual election date in November, Trump would have accumulated more than enough time to qualify.
To run for senate, any member of the Trump family would have to meet residency requirements similar to that of governor.
Ivanka and Donald Jr. Could both run for senate in New York. Either sibling could run to unseat Chuck Schumer or Kirsten Gillibrand. New York has not had a Republican senator since 1998, so the odds are long but not impossible when carrying the Trump name.
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