A Second Trump Will Rise
Whatever the outcome in November, books
will be written on the 2016 Presidential Campaign for decades to
come. Endless ink will be spilt on countless pages of paper
dissecting every aspect and angle of this most unusual election. The
hows and whys of what brought it to pass will be speculated on. The wise and most serious pronouncements on what it means for America as
a people and a nation will flow freely.
After the year of unexpected events and surprises we have had, I have officially given up on trying to predict the future. That being said, at this point it is fair to say that the odds are in Hillary Clinton's favour in the race for the White House. Despite a lifetime of baggage, an uninspiring campaign consisting mostly of microwaved leftovers of the status quo, and a still unfolding scandal involving her private email server and the very sketchy actions of the Clinton Foundation, the former Secretary of State maintains a thin but largely consistent lead over her Republican opponent both nationally and in most swing states. This, combined with the organizational edge Clinton's campaign holds over Trump's largely ramshackle organization, will likely prove sufficient for the Democrats to maintain their hold over the Oval Office in November.
The great mistake that progressives can make, should this happen, would be to take this for a victory they have achieved rather than a large, self-inflicted defeat by Donald Trump upon himself. Should he fail to win on Election Day, it will not be because of any wholesale rejection of his policies and platform, but rather unease with the candidate himself. Trump's temperament has been a consistent reservation for me since his candidacy began and, if he loses, it shall largely be because of his poor impulse control, his unwillingness to think before he speaks, and his inability to maintain message discipline and not be goaded into rising to the bait of obvious traps and pratfalls.
The ugly and unwelcome truth that Trump was revealed is that, at this time, the Western world is very much a story of two realities. For one, consisting of the highly educated, the economically skilled, and the financially flush (from which almost all of the political class hail from these days), things truly have never been better as the forces of globalization, technological progress and modernity have ushered in a golden era of prosperity. For the other, encompassing the poor, the unskilled, and the obsolete, life has become an unstable grind where the smug residents of the former camp look down on them with sneering condescension either as bigoted rubes or shiftless layabouts and seek to placate them with welfare cheques, and puffed up culture wars and cheap crap imported from China.
Donald Trump may well have fallen upon his own sword but, like it or not, this latter group that embraced him as their voice may very well have realized the previously unknown power they possessed. Should proponents of the status quo simply revert after November to their tired old refrain of "just do what the smart people are telling you, dummies", they may well find that their audience is no longer willing to listen. The sleeper has awoken and will not be easily lulled back into slumber. Ignore this, and the reckoning for it may well prove to be dear.